Wait … I’m sorry, but the PDF file is yet to be completed in 18 hours and to be sent immediately afterwards. 13Jan26 – 518am. Ernest Barraquias Jr. // Article to be composed in 24 hours.
But first, Iran and the Iranian people. (Snippets here.) We stand in solidarity with people who are fighting for freedom, and especially against brutal, violent dictators. Right now, the Iranian people, millions of them, in one of the most repressive and violent regimes in the world, so fearsome, all kinds of citizens are risking their very lives, braving state-ordered violence against them, facing armed state goons, and their bullets. Hundreds, if not thousands, have already been killed and more have been injured, including teens, barely adults, and the elderly.
I wonder about the appropriate role and set up for the exiled Crown Prince Pahlavi. A quote from the 70th U.S. Secretary of State, Mike R. Pompeo:
“Down with the oppressor, be it the Shah or the Ayatollah, we do not need dictators. The Shah … heavily relied on collaboration with the IRGC”. October, 2023.
I’ve been in this kind of very large protests, and in my very first exposure, I witnessed those feeling oppressed and hopeless, not professional organized activists, regardless of the overall political tones of the rallies, cry for justice and their yearnings for a dignified existence. Imagine how it is for Iranian people, who know the merciless all-too-powerful IRGC as the world’s biggest operator-sponsor of the terror-groups that have undermined entire governments and societies in the Middle East and beyond.
It’s just a matter of time…
It’s not the intense emotions. The excitement about the unique opportunity to topple the dictator ayatollah, and his top deputies among the IRGC, of the world’s biggest state-sponsor of terrorism. But calculated, sober, precision planning required for any compelling interventions to succeed and actually usher to practically manageable post-conflict or regime-fall scenarios. I’m sure it’s going to be a highly calibrated, directed series of decisive special operations, actions, to follow what very special operatives are already doing on the ground for days and weeks now. Unlike in Venezuela, this is a far more complex planning and preparations required, if because of very large crowds of people in the streets across many cities of a large country of Iran with an IRGC undaunted by any kind and scale of chaos, mass violence, and terrorism against unarmed civilians, that it instigated and inflicted on other societies.
There is this kind of complexity and extent of uncertainties for what comes after the likely downfall of the ayatollah regime, that no lay person can actually think about how it would look like. But there are instances when unpredictability can be considered necessary risks to take no matter what, when the situation is so bad and the peculiarity or scale of a situation so rare, so as leaders can really take the boldest of decisions and actions. There is no such thing as zero-risk operation, especially in military terms, much more in interventions in national-level socio-political upheavals. Here, it is the stopping of not just of sheer mayhem, but of organized and indiscriminate killings of state forces. President Trump and his other war planners and American diplomats, they are so much better informed than anyone else, so we’re sure their calculations, that also entails scenarios for the entire Middle East and Central Asia, would know best as to what courses of actions to take and what’s desirable but not practical to pursue. Let’s see.
Thousands have been murdered, how many more?
“If a regime can only cling to power through violence, then it’s effectively over anyway,” Merz said. “I believe that we are currently witnessing the final days and weeks of this regime … has no legitimacy from popular elections anyway. The people are now rising up against this regime. I hope there is a way to end this conflict peacefully….” – German Chancellor Friedrich Merz
CCP-China helped keep this regime afloat, with billions of dollars worth of annual oil and other imports from Iran, violating global sanctions against the regime and the IRGC. Look, the CCP is not issuing any statement denouncing, not condemning the mass violence against the protesters clamoring for their rights. The Communist Party of China is for the mullahs, the violent dictators, and that as always emboldened the illegitimate rulers, the CCP not in any case taking up the cause of the Iranian people or cautioning the regime against killing its own people.
